Capitals Weekly Trends: Another Mixed Week As Shot And Possession Metrics Continue To Improve


Welcome to the third installment of our Washington Capitals weekly trends report. The new regular feature provides a very brief snapshot of the most relevant statistical trends for Capitals over the past seven days.

The following table lists the Capitals team stats and league rankings for last week (Left side – after 11 games) and the current stats and rankings for today (after 14 games). The colors indicate improving (green) and/or worsening (red) trends over the past week. [Click to enlarge]

NEGATIVES

Goals Per Game – While the Capitals posted a five-spot on Monday night against the Oilers, the overall weekly trend continues to decline. The Capitals are now a -2 overall on the season.

Shooting Percentage – The Capitals shooting percentage continues to drop, although this is likely more just a leveling off at this point in the season. Having said that, the Capitals have had one the league’s best shooting percentages over the past few seasons. A number worth watching.

POSITIVES

Possession. – The Capitals possession metrics continue to improve for the third-straight week, but still rank in the bottom third of the league. It will take some time before we find any kind of leveling-off point, so for now, improving is all we can ask for.

At one point Anthony Mantha was the only Capitals skater with an xGF% above 50%. Now they have six above the threshold – Alex Ovechkin, Anthony Mantha, Conor Sheary, Dylan Strome, Matt Irwin and Nicolas Aube-Kubel. Aliaksei Protas and Erik Gustafsson are very close to rising above the threshold.

Shots Per Game Differntial – The Capitals shot differential continues to improve for the third-straight game and a season-low on November 1.

They are now giving up 2.70 more shots against than they are generating offensively.

Goaltending – Even thought the team save average dropped a thousandth of a point, the stat continues to be in the top 10 in the league. There is really nothing to complain about with regards to Capitals netminding.

All-in-all a decent week. Despite the four-straight losses, key metrics are improving, which is more important over the long haul.

The Capitals get right back to work Wednesday night when they host the Pittsburgh Penguins at Capital One Arena. Puck drop is set for 7:30PM on TNT.

By Jon Sorensen

About Jon Sorensen

Jon has been a Caps fan since day one, attending his first game at the Capital Centre in 1974. His interest in the Caps has grown over the decades and included time as a season ticket holder. He has been a journalist covering the team for 10+ years, primarily focusing on analysis, analytics and prospect development.
This entry was posted in News and tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Capitals Weekly Trends: Another Mixed Week As Shot And Possession Metrics Continue To Improve

  1. Anonymous says:

    Power play stat got a huge boost last night, going 4 for 5. Will likely quiet down the “Fire Forsythe “ mob for a few weeks.

  2. Anonymous says:

    Defense has improved since Carlson’s absence? 🤔

Leave a Reply