Tom Wilson: What Is He Worth to the Capitals?

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The Washington Capitals have had a busy summer celebrating the franchise’s first Stanley Cup.  While celebrating the Stanley Cup, management has been hard at work keeping the Cup winning team together for more Cup runs.

Tom Wilson is up for a new contract this offseason.  Wilson elected not to file for salary arbitration with the Capitals.  This is usually a good sign between both sides that a deal will get done.

In the 2017-18 regular season, Tom Wilson set career highs with 14 goals and 35 points.  Wilson added 5 goals and 15 points to his postseason statistics.

Wilson is not the prototypical scoring forward in the NHL.  He is big, physical, and brings a mean nasty snarl to the ice.

PLAYER COMPARABLES

There are only a few players in the NHL that bring the same overall game as Tom Wilson.  Listed below is a list of players who are close to Tom Wilson.

Josh Anderson (CBJ): 19 goals, 30 points, Cap hit: $1.85M
Antoine Roussel (VAN): 5 goals, 17 points, Cap hit: $3M
Boone Jenner (CBJ): 13 goals, 32 points, Cap hit: $3.75M
Andrew Shaw (MTL): 10 goals, 20 points, Cap hit: $3.9M
Milan Lucic (EDM): 10 goals, 34 points, Cap hit: $6M

CONTRACT TALK

The Capitals have an interesting decision to make with Tom Wilson.  The 24-year old Toronto native has seen his role expand with the club every year over the last 5 years.  At the end of the postseason, Wilson was playing alongside Evgeny Kuznetsov and Alex Ovechkin and did not look out of place.

While the Capitals could gamble and try another short-term bridge deal, the Capitals may be best suited to pay Wilson in a long-term deal right now.  The salary cap continues to rise every season that goes by, so the Capitals can afford to start giving some of their younger players long-term deals earlier on in their careers.

The other notable thing with Wilson’s deal is his physical play.  Players that play the physical style of hockey that Tom Wilson plays typically do not have the longevity in the NHL like other players do.

While the Capitals can probably afford to do a long-term deal with Wilson, they need to keep the term reasonable.  It should likely cap at no more than 5-6 years.

While Wilson has not put up the offensive production, he has the ability to play alongside other skilled offensive players.  Wilson’s physical presence can change the momentum in a game, as he can create space for his linemates on the ice.  Wilson has grown as a solid penalty killer for the Capitals too.

Considering that Wilson can move up and down the lineup, and can play on the penalty kill, it is expected that his annual cap hit should land in the $3.5-5 million range per season.

By: George Foussekis

About George Foussekis

I am a sports fanatic. I love hockey and football, and I enjoy writing about my two favorite sports. I am a proud Old Dominion University alum.
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8 Responses to Tom Wilson: What Is He Worth to the Capitals?

  1. J says:

    Id be very comfortable with a number 3.5mil up to Boone Jenner 3.75mil range thats where Willys value is and the value of a high energy physical power forward. Lucic got overpaid and once you get into 5-6mil per range your dealing with legit skill players who produce goals and points, not intangible players like Willy.

  2. Radler says:

    Wilson’s numbers are a bit inflated after playing with Ovechkin, but not everyone is willing to play the role Wilson does by going into the corners and doing the dirty work. I would be worried about his issues with player safety, but hopefully, he’s gained enough experience to perhaps start playing a little smarter. The Caps miss him when he’s not in the lineup.

  3. Anonymous says:

    Pay the man! I would hate to think about facing him on ice elsewhere. Class act.

  4. Randy Cassidy says:

    I love Tom. He defends other players. Improving skills every year. Should be rewarded. However, I believe 2.5-3million a year over 5 years Is most reasonable.

    • HT says:

      $2.5-3 million is never going to happen. And it would be a terrible, disrespectful offer he should turn down. But he had better numbers than anyone on that list except, arguably Anderson.
      It’s almost certainly going to be $3.5 – 4.5 for 4-6 years. I’d think all parties win at $4 mil. for 4-5 years. Though he’s probably worth more, with his youth and annually increasing stats/minutes.

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