Capitals vs. Golden Knights – Game 4: A Look At The Numbers


Photo: NHL via Getty Images

The Washington Capitals are one win away from claiming the Stanley Cup. It’s surreal. They got one step closer with a 6-2 thumping in game 4 against the Vegas Golden Knights. And I’m not going to lie, the Caps were pretty lucky, but who cares? 

[All numbers/visuals provided by Natural Stat Trick and Money Puck. Numbers are adjusted. (Click graphic to enlarge)]

Screen Shot 2018-06-04 at 11.42.48 PM

So yeah, the Caps kind of got pummeled in every numbered metric at 5v5. These numbers are still adjusted for the score, but the Capitals going up 3-0 in the 1st period still smudges the numbers a bit.

Screen Shot 2018-06-04 at 11.47.38 PM

The eye test agrees with this visual. The Golden Knights came out flying and was shot off the post from James Neal from taking an early lead.

But once the Capitals scored they woke up. And though the Capitals didn’t create much offense, they also didn’t allow too much. With these adjusted numbers, Vegas only had 1.87 expected goals at 5v5. Still, you would like to see the Capitals playing better than this.

Screen Shot 2018-06-04 at 11.43.01 PMScreen Shot 2018-06-04 at 11.39.56 PM

The first visual is at 5v5 and the 2nd visual is all situations (there isn’t a 5v5 version). Like stated above, the Capitals didn’t create too much but also didn’t give up too much. In fact, the 2nd visual shows that the Golden Knights did get some slot shots but not close to the blue. If there’s such a thing, the Capitals limited Vegas’ high danger chances to the least dangerous high dangerous chances.

Screen Shot 2018-06-04 at 11.47.59 PM

The funny thing with Alexander Ovechkin leading his team in Expected Goals, is that he had two 2-on-1s and tried to pass on both of them. He’s the best goal scorer in NHL history, he needs to shoot when he gets his chances! Check out Devante Smith-Pelly continuing his clutch goal scoring abilities.

The Capitals are one win away from the big one and the chances they win another game playing like they did are not high. Braden Holtby said it best after the game, “Good fortune was on our side a little bit. We have to be honest with ourselves.” The Caps have been unlucky just about every playoff run ever, except this year, and it’s great to win games like that, but the Capitals have the ability to really take over the game and that’s what we need for the last win of the playoffs.

By Luke Adomanis

View this post on Instagram

#ALLCAPS #ROCKTHERED #CAPITALS #CAPS

A post shared by NoVa Caps (@nova_caps) on

This entry was posted in News and tagged , , , . Bookmark the permalink.

2 Responses to Capitals vs. Golden Knights – Game 4: A Look At The Numbers

  1. Pingback: Up 3-1 in the Stanley Cup Finals, Barry Trotz and the Capitals Remain Focused at Task at Hand | NoVa Caps

  2. Pingback: Barry Trotz on Evgeny Kuznetsov: “He’s Been on the Cusp of Superstar Status All Year” | NoVa Caps

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s